Part of: Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,278.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Wisconsin Primary, US Election

Notable Trades

82% winner fading Yes

A highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader is fading Sara Rodriguez in the Wisconsin Democratic primary market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $740K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 38 events and 45 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Selling Yes at 23¢ is equivalent to backing No at 77¢, while the market currently prices No near 72¢.

$1,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $117,913
  2. 0x4f1d...8de2 — Yes, $6,197 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $2,898 (65% win rate)
  4. 0xc518...2594 — Yes, $2,511
  5. 0x6291...cc47 — Yes, $2,200
  6. 0xc01f...cd8e — Yes, $1,246 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x8f69...2923 — Yes, $1,217
  8. 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $1,157
  9. 0x3dae...1279 — Yes, $1,000
  10. 0xe234...304a — Yes, $936 (66% win rate)

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Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner$1,278 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryWisconsin PrimaryUS Election
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

2026-07-14 06:54 UTC

$1,278 on No at 77¢

77¢→100¢↑23¢

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