Part of: Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,278.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Wisconsin Primary, US Election
Notable Trades
82% winner fading Yes
A highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader is fading Sara Rodriguez in the Wisconsin Democratic primary market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $740K lifetime.
- They have traded across 38 events and 45 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Selling Yes at 23¢ is equivalent to backing No at 77¢, while the market currently prices No near 72¢.
$1,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $117,913
- 0x4f1d...8de2 — Yes, $6,197 (74% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $2,898 (65% win rate)
- 0xc518...2594 — Yes, $2,511
- 0x6291...cc47 — Yes, $2,200
- 0xc01f...cd8e — Yes, $1,246 (56% win rate)
- 0x8f69...2923 — Yes, $1,217
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $1,157
- 0x3dae...1279 — Yes, $1,000
- 0xe234...304a — Yes, $936 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
Someone else wins Peru presidency
Covers 3 related markets
Iran announcement timing markets are mispriced
Covers 5 related markets
Bores wins NY-12 nomination
Covers 1 related market
Abelardo de la Espriella wins
Covers 3 related markets
Hormuz traffic stays disrupted
Covers 1 related market
Starmer survives until July 2026
Covers 1 related market
Spider-Man tops 2026 box office
Covers 1 related market
Ukraine war drags on
Covers 1 related market
Hormuz traffic stays disrupted
Covers 1 related market
Iran will stay in MOU talks
Covers 1 related market
