Part of: Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,278.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Wisconsin Primary, US Election

Notable Trades

82% winner fading Yes

A highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader is fading Sara Rodriguez in the Wisconsin Democratic primary market.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $740K lifetime.
They have traded across 38 events and 45 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Selling Yes at 23¢ is equivalent to backing No at 77¢, while the market currently prices No near 72¢.

$1,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12584871, $117,913
0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 70276961, $6,197 (75% win rate)
0x28bf...4a4e — Outcome 70276961, $5,341
0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 70276961, $5,077 (73% win rate)
0xcfff...673d — Outcome 70276961, $3,151
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 70276961, $2,898 (61% win rate)
0xc518...2594 — Outcome 70276961, $2,511
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 70276961, $2,314
0x6291...cc47 — Outcome 70276961, $2,200
0xc01f...cd8e — Outcome 70276961, $1,246 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Someone else wins Peru presidency

Covers 3 related markets

Hormuz traffic stays disrupted

Covers 1 related market

Starmer survives until July 2026

Covers 1 related market

Spider-Man tops 2026 box office

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic stays disrupted

Covers 1 related market

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

ResolvedWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner$1,278 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryWisconsin PrimaryUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “No”

102¢

100¢

98¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction