Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
This Polymarket asks whether Donald Trump will physically visit Pakistan by May 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Trump enters Pakistan’s land or maritime territory before the deadline; merely flying through Pakistani airspace does not count. Recent smart money activity includes a notable flip to No, giving traders a signal to watch as the resolution date approaches.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,383.
Categories: Pakistan, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics, Iran, Politics, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
75% winner flips to No
A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate is taking a fresh No position after previously closing the opposite side, suggesting a deliberate directional view rather than routine position management.
- This bettor has won 783 of 1,046 resolved markets and is up about $168k lifetime
- They trade across 175 markets in 85 events, which points to a seasoned event-driven bettor rather than a one-off whale
- This is a fresh No bet at 75¢ after closing an earlier Yes position, showing an updated view on a low-probability visit
$1,383 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xe945...de25 — Yes, $6,775
- 0xa8c6...44e8 — No, $2,390 (75% win rate)
- 0x8f2f...b226 — No, $1,579 (65% win rate)
- 0x1c85...31d4 — Yes, $1,491 (28% win rate)
- 0xd67b...5780 — No, $1,284 (45% win rate)
- 0x853c...bd03 — No, $1,161 (50% win rate)
- 0x5c5b...ca21 — Yes, $1,131
- 0x63c0...28e6 — Yes, $950
- 0x27c2...7b89 — Yes, $900
- 0x4f09...5c0a — Yes, $871
