Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $11,022 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x5188f82% win rate

Total

$11,022

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
    $2,704 @ 16¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,086 @ 90¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $1,063 @ 71¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
    $2,995 @ 56¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $3,175 @ 36¢