Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether official representatives of the United States and Iran will hold a diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only for a deliberate, official meeting involving authorized representatives discussing U.S.-Iran relations; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal on this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,000.
Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Profitable diplomacy bettor
Sharp profitable wallet bought a large Yes position in a very thin US-Iran diplomacy market, with cross-market positioning supporting the thesis.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $78.5K lifetime.
- The $5K buy is more than 2x the market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- They are also positioned across a related market, suggesting a broader US-Iran diplomacy thesis.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x1681...b1c7 — Yes, $16,003 (78% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $7,400 (47% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $2,337
- 0x215a...254c — No, $1,561
- 0x9648...6825 — Yes, $1,462 (69% win rate)
- 0xb51b...b4d9 — No, $1,243 (61% win rate)
- 0xbb1f...907d — No, $1,234 (100% win rate)
- 0x2637...26e1 — No, $1,000
- 0x613c...e423 — Yes, $900 (22% win rate)
- 0x0fa6...2663 — No, $600 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
US-Iran talks happen soon
Covers 2 related markets
