Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran agreement by May 31

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $68,734 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $1,191 @ 66¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $2,670 @ 89¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
    $58,632 @ 90¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
    $6,240 @ 86¢