Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
3 signals across 2 markets · $25,916 tracked · resolves Sep 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether authorized representatives of Israel and Lebanon will hold an official diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s Yes/No odds, including a four-wallet smart money cluster scaling into No with $13,265 tracked across the event.

Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet cluster scaling into No
Four linked wallets added $13,265 to No in a thin market, creating a major one-sided signal despite limited individual track records.
$13,265Score: 7.2 - Four-wallet coordinated Yes reversal
Four coordinated wallets, including two sharing a funder, effectively bought Yes with $11,094 of No exits amid a major volume spike, though one wallet appears to be taking profit.
$11,094Score: 6.9 - Sharp serial trader buys No
A proven, highly profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,558 No bet while the market has been declining.
$1,558Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x524db8…4495$1,558 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds?
The live Yes/No odds for an official Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting are shown on this PolySpotter event page and update as traders buy and sell the market.
What does this Israel-Lebanon prediction market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if authorized government representatives of Israel and Lebanon hold a deliberate official meeting about bilateral relations by September 15, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No.
What is smart money doing in the Israel-Lebanon market?
PolySpotter has identified a four-wallet cluster scaling into No. The event currently has $13,265 in tracked smart money and one smart money signal.
When does the Israel-Lebanon Polymarket event resolve?
The child market is based on whether a qualifying diplomatic meeting occurs by September 15, 2026. Check the market rules and live event page for the final resolution timing.