Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
5 signals across 3 markets · $39,326 tracked · resolves Sep 6, 2026
This Sachsen-Anhalt election prediction market tracks whether the AfD receives between 42% and 45% of valid second votes in the September 6, 2026 Landtag election. PolySpotter is tracking $4,738 in smart money and a recent signal from an 83%-win-rate serial trader who bought No.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven bettor leads coordinated No buying
Three wallets committed $9,342 to No, including a serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate and substantial proven profitability, while the market rapidly moved from roughly 83% to 99% No.
$9,342Score: 7.5 - Profitable wallets scaling into Yes
Three profitable, high-volume wallets added to existing Yes positions in coordination across four event markets, driving a 48-point price surge, though the current 99% price leaves little room to enter.
$13,604Score: 7.1 - 82% winner buys No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate bought No at 84% on a long-dated political market.
$2,241Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into No
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate made a concentrated No position while volume surged and the price moved sharply in their favor.
$9,400Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.4 - 83% win-rate serial trader buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a meaningful $4,738 bet on No at near-market price.
$4,738Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6db983…4ab5$11,641 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$4,738 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Sachsen-Anhalt AfD vote share prediction-market odds?
The event tracks the market outcome for whether AfD wins between 42% and 45% of valid second votes. Check the live Polymarket price for the latest implied probability.
What is the Polymarket market about?
It covers AfD’s vote share in the Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election, specifically whether the party falls within the 42%–45% bracket based on valid second votes.
What is smart money doing in this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,738 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert reported that an 83%-win-rate serial trader bought No.
When will the Sachsen-Anhalt AfD market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the September 6, 2026 election, based on the reported percentage of valid second votes received by AfD.