Event

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

1 signal across 1 market · $6,677 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the United States and Iran will publicly announce a mutual nuclear agreement by May 31, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity across the market, including a recent whale buying NO.

Markets (1)

  1. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?1 signal · $6,677 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. New whale buying NO

    A 6-day-old repeat whale is building a $6.7k No position on a geopolitics market while the No price has moved sharply higher.

    $6,677Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 7.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x3660ce7810$6,677 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins

FAQs

What are the odds of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that the US and Iran reach an official nuclear agreement before the May 31, 2026 deadline. PolySpotter tracks those market moves along with smart money positioning.

What does this US-Iran nuclear deal prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves to Yes if the United States and Iran publicly announce a mutual agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no such agreement is reached by then, it resolves to No.

What is smart money doing in this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $6,677 in smart money activity across this event. The latest signal showed a whale buying NO, suggesting at least one large trader is positioning against a deal being reached by the deadline.

Is this a Polymarket market on the US-Iran nuclear deal?

Yes. This event is a Polymarket prediction market focused on whether the US and Iran reach an official nuclear agreement by the stated deadline, with Yes and No shares trading based on market expectations.

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Odds by May 31 | PolySpotter