Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
2 signals across 1 market · $5,954 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 83% win-rate NO buyer
A proven 83% win-rate trader made a nearly $5k buy that was almost the entire day's volume in a thin pardon market, and the price moved strongly in their favor afterward.
$4,919Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.0 - 96% winner buys Yes
A very high-win-rate wallet sold No on a relatively quiet political market, effectively buying Yes around 19¢ despite only a weak market-activity signal.
$1,035Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4133f8…ea5d$4,919 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x5eec1b…f4e2$1,035 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins