Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
44 signals across 9 markets · $325,323 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks whether Anthropic’s private-market valuation reaches the high $3.0 trillion threshold by December 31, 2026. The market resolves using Nasdaq Private Market’s reported NPM Price, while PolySpotter highlights smart-money activity including a recent 11-wallet funded cluster signal.
Markets (9)
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?16 signals · $249,954 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?5 signals · $29,900 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?10 signals · $19,537 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?2 signals · $8,489 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?5 signals · $6,328 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?2 signals · $4,783 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?2 signals · $3,187 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?1 signal · $1,793 tracked
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?1 signal · $1,352 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 11-wallet funded whale cluster
High-conviction linked-wallet flow: an 11-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes across related Anthropic valuation markets, with this wallet putting $78k into a thin market and moving odds sharply higher.
$78,401Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 14.5 - 16-wallet valuation bear
High-conviction bearish Anthropic valuation trade from a profitable wallet tied to a 16-wallet funded cluster and broader cross-market positioning.
$7,474Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 12.0 - 11-wallet funded valuation push
An 11-wallet funded cluster is making a large coordinated Yes bet across Anthropic valuation markets, with this wallet buying $37.6k at 38¢ before the price jumped to 59¢.
$37,620Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 12.0 - 12-wallet cluster fading rally
A 12-wallet funded cluster with profitable history is fading a sharp rally in Anthropic's $1.75T valuation market via an effective Buy No at 40¢.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 12.0 - 12-wallet cluster fading valuation
High-severity linked-wallet cluster and cross-market positioning suggest a coordinated bearish thesis on Anthropic reaching a $2T valuation, despite this individual trade being modest in size.
$1,380Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 12.0 - 82% winner buying Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with 82% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history is effectively buying Yes on Anthropic reaching a $2T valuation.
$2,034Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 10.0 - 11-wallet funded cluster
An 11-wallet shared-funder cluster is building a coordinated $12.6k Anthropic valuation thesis, including this Yes buy at 10¢.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 10.0 - Whale backing AI valuation
A profitable high-volume wallet put $60.7k into Yes across two thin Anthropic valuation markets, including a very large bet relative to daily volume.
$60,736Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 10.0 - 86% winner buying NO
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and $175k profit bought No on a long-dated Anthropic $3T valuation market.
$1,112Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 10.0 - Sharp bettor cross-market thesis
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win rate is building a cross-market Anthropic valuation thesis, including a Yes buy here at 23¢.
$1,921Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8a4c78…532b$127,475 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 52% wins
- 0xbec7f8…5977$92,954 · 5 markets · 22 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x65503c…8451$60,736 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0x53c48f…740b$19,389 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x3a8aa3…7699$5,789 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x74471a…a16d$4,981 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x2f63db…f247$4,194 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x81aaa4…c075$2,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x7c30ee…7673$2,176 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xbace5a…3429$1,419 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What is the Anthropic $3T valuation prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event on whether Anthropic’s private-market valuation will reach or exceed $3.0 trillion by December 31, 2026, based on Nasdaq Private Market’s NPM Price data.
What are the current odds that Anthropic hits a $3T valuation?
The live Polymarket odds update as traders buy and sell Yes or No shares. PolySpotter tracks those price moves alongside smart-money activity so you can see how the market is positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this Anthropic valuation market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,400 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal tied to an 11-wallet funded cluster. That can indicate coordinated or related wallet interest, but it is not a guarantee of the outcome.
When does this Anthropic valuation market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. It will resolve Yes if the NPM Price for Anthropic reaches or exceeds $3.0 trillion on any eligible date through December 31, 2026; otherwise it resolves No.