Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,683.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru, Peru Election
Notable Trades
Profitable election longshot buyer
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M in realized profit is buying Ricardo Belmont Yes at 15¢, a cheap election longshot entry worth following.
- This bettor wins 75% of 1,009 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They trade across related markets at scale — 79 events and 114 markets for $1.3M total tracked flow.
- Bought Yes at 15¢, a low-price entry on a major election market that implies meaningful upside if their read is right.
$1,914 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
84% win-rate election bettor
A highly profitable 84% win-rate trader with extensive cross-market election positioning bought Ricardo Belmont at 24¢, making this a credible directional signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k lifetime.
- They have traded 79 markets across 43 events, including 7 markets in this same election setup.
- Buying at 24¢ shows a clear long-shot view on a liquid political market after a 19% weekly move.
$1,513 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cross-market election bettor
A high-win-rate wallet is building a cross-market Peru election thesis here, though the single trade is modest and the edge is tempered by poor overall P&L.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 192 bets, which makes their Peru election positioning worth tracking.
- They are betting across 3 related Peru election markets with $14.6k total, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 27¢, a cheap entry on a contract that has already risen 21.8% in the last week.
$1,463 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
87% winner fading Belmont
A highly profitable 87% win-rate trader with a long history of betting across this election event just sold Belmont Yes at 29¢, which translates into a copyable BUY No at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of 187 resolved trades and is up $243.6k lifetime
- They have traded 13 markets in this same election event for $73.9k, suggesting a broad Peru election thesis
- This trade was a sell of Belmont Yes at 29¢, equivalent to buying No at 71¢ in a liquid market that's already moved up sharply
$1,157 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% winner fades Belmont
A proven high-win-rate trader with a broad history of profitable cross-market election positioning is selling Belmont at 23¢, which translates to buying No at 77¢ in a liquid market already moving against the candidate.
- This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $243,636 lifetime
- They have traded 13 markets in this same election event for $74,122, suggesting a developed Peru election view
- This sale at 23¢ on Yes translates to buying No at 77¢, aligning with a market that has moved 19.4% in the past week
$1,383 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
84% win-rate election bettor
A highly profitable 84% win-rate trader with a long cross-market track record is expressing a broad Peru election thesis here by selling Belmont Yes, which converts to buying No around 81¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k overall.
- They have traded 78 markets across 42 events, including 7 markets tied to this same election event.
- Selling Yes at 19¢ is equivalent to buying No around 81¢, showing confidence Belmont is overpriced.
$1,752 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable linked-wallet buyer
A profitable wallet with a solid 78% hit rate is buying into a rising political market, and the same funder has shown repeat linked-wallet activity before.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $3.2k on nearly $18k invested
- The wallet is linked to another account funded by the same address, and that funding link has appeared in prior runs
- They bought No at 82¢ in a liquid Peru election market that has already moved 15 points higher over the past week
$2,499 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
84% win-rate event trader
A proven high-performing political trader with an 84% win rate is expressing a broad event-level thesis across seven related Peru election markets, and this trade translates to buying 'No' on Belmont at 82¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k across $2.46M invested
- They have bet $70k across 7 Peru election markets, which suggests a broader election thesis rather than a one-off trade
- This sale of Yes at 18¢ is equivalent to buying No at 82¢, in line with recent momentum as Belmont's odds have risen 16 points this week
$1,001 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10558486, $3,951,697
- 0x784f...5df9 — Outcome 67856043, $320,934 (86% win rate)
- 0xf2f6...5817 — Outcome 67856043, $171,969 (75% win rate)
- 0xdc03...804c — Outcome 67856043, $153,952 (80% win rate)
- 0x24c8...23e1 — Outcome 67856043, $124,636 (40% win rate)
- 0x4207...b81b — Outcome 67856043, $96,596 (29% win rate)
- 0xd3a6...fd55 — Outcome 67856043, $92,581 (41% win rate)
- 0x8575...87fe — Outcome 67856043, $69,691
- 0xd9b5...9db1 — Outcome 67856043, $45,323
- 0x8ea1...c38e — Outcome 67856043, $40,894 (25% win rate)
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