Part of: Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,425.
Categories: Politics, Jerome Powell, MAGA, Economic Policy, Fed, US Politics, Fed Rates, Trump, Fed Chair
Notable Trades
Profitable whale buying breakout
Despite the low composite score, this is a profitable high-volume wallet buying into a major Powell headline market during a sharp price breakout.
- This whale is up $1.36M lifetime across more than $72M traded.
- They bought $3.6K of Yes as the market jumped 19.5 points in just over 2 minutes.
- The market has surged 54 points in 24 hours, suggesting fast-moving headline momentum.
$3,644 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
92% winner fades spike
A highly profitable 92% winner is buying No against a large Powell-removal odds spike, with linked-wallet clustering adding corroboration.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $13,068 lifetime.
- They are buying No after Yes jumped 52 points in a day, fading a major market move.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated positioning.
$1,093 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
89% win serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate is effectively buying Yes on Powell leaving by selling No into a fast-moving market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 65 events with over $14M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Selling No at 33¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 67¢, below the current 78% market price.
$1,195 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable sharp fading rally
Despite only a weak price-impact alert, the wallet has a strong 224-bet record with positive lifetime P&L and is fading the Powell-removal rally by selling Yes.
- This bettor has won 75% of 224 resolved bets and is up $21.2K lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 62¢ during a fast rally, effectively backing No at 38¢.
- The market has jumped nearly 50 points in a day, so this looks like a sharp fade of momentum.
$1,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable cluster fades spike
A small but coordinated No fade of a major Powell-removal price spike includes a profitable 75% winner and a high-volume serial cross-market trader.
- A bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $21K is buying the No side.
- Three wallets put $3.3K on No while Yes surged 42 points in the past day.
- One wallet has traded 138 related markets across 81 events with a 67% win rate.
$3,308 on No
Linked sharp wallets fading spike
Three linked wallets, including two strong historical winners, are taking the No side against a sharp Yes price spike in a high-volume Fed Chair market.
- Three wallets funded by the same source are all betting No, with $4.4K placed in the same direction.
- Two of the wallets have strong records: one wins 92% of resolved bets and another wins 75%.
- They are fading a huge move after Yes jumped about 52 points in one day.
$4,403 on No
Profitable serial trader fades spike
Profitable serial cross-market trader is fading a sharp Powell-removal price spike by effectively buying No at 25¢.
- This bettor is up $275K across 653 resolved bets and has traded 81 events.
- They are effectively buying No at 25¢ after Yes jumped about 50 points in one day.
- The market moved fast, with Yes rising 19.5 points in just over 2 minutes before this contrarian entry.
$1,647 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Proven trader fading rally
Experienced cross-market trader with a strong long-term record is fading the sharp Powell-out rally by effectively buying No around 30¢.
- This bettor has 661 resolved trades, wins 68%, and is up $46.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events with $273.9K in tracked activity.
- This trade fades a huge move: Yes jumped about 49 points today, and selling Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢.
$1,728 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Proven winner buying breakout
Sharp wallet with a 77% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes into a fast Powell-out price breakout.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $24.8k lifetime.
- They bought $2.45k of Yes at about 66¢ as the market jumped 19.5 points in just over 2 minutes.
- Yes is already up 41.5 points today, suggesting strong momentum behind the Powell-out thesis.
$2,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp bettor fading spike
A profitable 80% wallet is fading a major Powell-removal price spike by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 36¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $6.2K lifetime.
- They are fading a huge move after Yes jumped about 40 points in one day.
- Selling Yes at 64¢ is equivalent to backing No at 36¢.
$1,144 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x5188...c804 — Outcome 16661783, $12,571 (82% win rate)
- 0x79f4...4afb — Outcome 16661783, $10,000
- 0xe555...a91d — Outcome 16661783, $10,000 (19% win rate)
- 0x7372...ad6d — Outcome 16661783, $3,616
- 0x65dc...f54b — Outcome 16661783, $3,000
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 16661783, $3,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xe64e...c86f — Outcome 16661783, $2,930 (81% win rate)
- 0x3669...0372 — Outcome 16661783, $2,621
- 0x12a2...0e71 — Outcome 16661783, $2,448 (72% win rate)
- 0xd923...f400 — Outcome 16661783, $1,577 (73% win rate)
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