Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,181.
Notable Trades
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Profitable cross-market trader with an 83% win rate is re-entering the No side in a Peruvian election market after already trading multiple related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $246k overall
- They have bet $41k across 5 related Peru election markets, showing a broader event thesis
- This is a fresh No buy at 63¢ after closing an earlier No position, with a tight 1¢ spread in a liquid market
$4,181 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $95,460
- 0xb4d1...4c60 — Yes, $21,976
- 0xdc03...804c — No, $19,998 (83% win rate)
- 0xb925...c48c — Yes, $16,849
- 0x7fdc...1830 — No, $16,000
- 0xb3be...776b — Yes, $15,292
- 0x784f...5df9 — No, $15,009 (86% win rate)
- 0xed9b...d616 — Yes, $14,772
- 0x5c17...8372 — Yes, $14,611
- 0x0490...c81f — No, $13,805 (50% win rate)
