Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,584.
Categories: World, Germany, Politics, Elections, Saxony-Anhalt, Sachsen-Anhalt, World Elections, German Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Proven bettor leads coordinated No buying
Three wallets committed $9,342 to No, including a serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate and substantial proven profitability, while the market rapidly moved from roughly 83% to 99% No.
- Three wallets bought No for $9,342 at 83–84¢, and the market has since moved to about 99¢.
- One participant wins 82% of 393 resolved bets, is up $615,431, and has traded across 35 events.
- The coordinated buying and sharp price move support the No thesis, though the current 99¢ price is too high to chase.
$9,342 on No
82% winner buys No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate bought No at 84% on a long-dated political market.
- This bettor has won 82% of 393 resolved trades and earned $615,537 in reported P&L.
- The wallet consistently trades across events, with 82 markets and $478,392 in total volume.
- It bought No at 84¢, while the market has since moved to 91¢, reinforcing the direction.
$2,241 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 17056947, $26,248
- 0x9592...a85b — Outcome 97595365, $12,314
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 97595365, $6,198 (82% win rate)
- 0xd352...4ad6 — Outcome 97595365, $5,398 (48% win rate)
- 0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 97595365, $5,010 (76% win rate)
- 0x944e...8c94 — Outcome 97595365, $3,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xc8c7...3726 — Outcome 97595365, $2,237 (79% win rate)
- 0xaa68...3cb3 — Outcome 97595365, $1,320
- 0x434c...4abe — Outcome 97595365, $1,216
- 0x3a52...8226 — Outcome 97595365, $1,182
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