Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,530.

Notable Trades

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

A serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and $160,985 profit just bought $7.5k of Yes at 77¢ in a major geopolitical market, making this a credible follow signal despite only one detection source.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $160,985 overall
  • They have traded 147 markets across 102 events, which suggests repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Yes at 77¢ with $7,530, a sizable position in a live geopolitical market

$7,530 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9648...6825 Yes, $122,478 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xa9e6...1dc2 Yes, $38,924 (83% win rate)
  3. 0x8e2d...631f No, $37,297
  4. 0x8cce...5c11 No, $35,513
  5. 0x9a18...c5c4 No, $24,888
  6. 0xa022...77f8 No, $20,026 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x8f25...8cc2 No, $16,062
  8. 0x3541...462e No, $13,511 (48% win rate)
  9. 0xdbad...9c95 No, $13,358 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x3c91...9af7 Yes, $11,400

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

91d$7,530 tracked1 signalPoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsTrumpIranUS-IranU.S. x IranDiplomacy & Ceasefire
Yes
75¢
No
26¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

8d ago

$7,530 on Yes at 77¢

77¢75¢2¢

Related Theses

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | PolySpotter