Part of: Iran full airspace closure by...?
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,065.
Categories: U.S. x Iran, Israel x Iran, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, close
Notable Trades
Proven sharp exits Yes
A highly proven bettor exited a Yes position, providing a meaningful bearish signal despite the trade likely being position management rather than a fresh No entry.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,452 resolved positions and is up $762,084 lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 14¢ after previously holding a Yes position entered at 21¢, signaling reduced confidence in an airspace closure.
- The trade implies a corresponding No position around 86¢, though it may be profit-taking or loss-cutting rather than a new bet.
$1,020 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Six-wallet funded cluster buys No
A six-wallet funded cluster is positioning on No, making this a notable coordinated trade despite the individual bettor's modest track record.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are tied to this market, a strong coordinated-positioning signal.
- The wallet bought No at 48¢, near even odds, with $1,045 committed.
- This bettor has won 69% of 93 resolved trades and is up $54,924, though its average winning entry price is very high at 93¢.
$1,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 84812381, $31,166 (70% win rate)
- 0xfd66...fb6d — Outcome 84812381, $20,000 (20% win rate)
- 0x152f...c7e7 — Outcome 84812381, $19,326
- 0xff99...5602 — Outcome 84812381, $12,898 (75% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Outcome 84812381, $7,515 (42% win rate)
- 0x6cb1...be3b — Outcome 84812381, $7,329
- 0x4cbe...100a — Outcome 84812381, $6,909 (77% win rate)
- 0x71ab...f015 — Outcome 84812381, $6,840 (63% win rate)
- 0x6a83...4c59 — Outcome 84812381, $4,113 (41% win rate)
- 0x8936...2273 — Outcome 84812381, $3,961
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