What does the Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027 market predict?

It asks whether Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be prime minister of Israel at any time before the market’s March 31, 2027 deadline.

What would make this market resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if Netanyahu leaves office during the covered period. An announcement of his resignation or removal before the end date also triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if it takes effect later.

What are the current Polymarket odds for Netanyahu leaving office?

Current odds were not provided in the supplied market metadata. Check the live market page for the latest implied probability.

When does the Netanyahu market resolve?

The market covers events through March 31, 2027, and is scheduled to resolve at 03:59 UTC on April 1, 2027.

Part of: Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?

This Polymarket market resolves Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Israel’s prime minister at any point between market creation and March 31, 2027; otherwise, it resolves No. Current odds were not included in the supplied market metadata, and the market is scheduled to resolve after the March 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,443.

Categories: Geopolitics, World, Middle East, Israel, Politics, Earn 4%, Israel Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader is adding to a No position across three related markets, though their win rate does not establish a clear odds-adjusted edge.

The wallet has won 655 of 1,023 resolved bets and is up about $1.14M lifetime.
This trader has $12,804 across three markets in the same event and added $1,443 to No here.
The entry was 55¢; No is now priced at 64¢, while the market remains thinly traded.

$1,443 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%