Part of: Next Israeli government formed by...?

Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?

This Polymarket market asks whether a new Israeli government resulting from the 2026 Knesset election or a later election will be sworn in by February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The supplied metadata does not include current odds; the market resolves Yes only if a qualifying government is officially sworn in before the Knesset by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,341.

Categories: World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Israel Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable, prolific trader is adding to a Yes position with a sizable buy in a thin market, and the price has since risen.

  • This trader is up $1.17M across more than 1,000 resolved bets and has traded across 84 events.
  • They added $1,341 to an existing Yes position in a market with only $373 in 24-hour volume.
  • The Yes price has risen from their 50¢ entry to 60¢, though the current spread is wide.

$1,341 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

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Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?

Next Israeli government formed by...?$1,341 tracked1 signalWorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionIsrael ElectionGlobal Elections
Yes
54¢
No
47¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
62¢
50¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?

2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

$1,341 on Yes at 50¢

50¢→54¢↑4¢

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