Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,235.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Million-profit serial bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Yes while the market is already moving sharply upward, with a small linked-wallet cluster adding corroboration.

This bettor is up $1.16M lifetime across 1,374 resolved bets.
They bought $3.6k of Yes as the market rose 11.5 points today and 19.5 points this week.
A linked wallet cluster from the same funder has $4.8k aligned on this event.

$3,626 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is adding to a broader cross-market Starmer thesis while the market has strong upward momentum.

This wallet is up about $130K lifetime and has placed $43K across 5 related Starmer markets.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 11.5 points today and 19.5 points this week.
Entry at 85¢ suggests a lower-upside but high-conviction bet on Starmer leaving before the deadline.

$2,312 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable political bettor

A seasoned profitable wallet is buying Yes on a thin political market with cross-market positioning and strong recent price momentum.

This bettor has a long track record: 437 resolved bets and $92K in lifetime profit.
They bought Yes at 70¢ in a thin market where 24h volume was only $6.4K.
The market has already moved sharply toward Yes, up 24 points over the past week.

$1,296 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

0xf769...0114 — Outcome 95764299, $11,622 (79% win rate)
0xc591...f1fa — Outcome 95764299, $6,080
0x85a8...9281 — Outcome 95764299, $3,484 (92% win rate)
0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 95764299, $2,962 (37% win rate)
0xc8e3...ed51 — Outcome 95764299, $2,900
0x8a98...1b92 — Outcome 95764299, $2,501 (54% win rate)
0x39fa...468d — Outcome 95764299, $1,144
0xf27d...e6d3 — Outcome 95764299, $1,111 (24% win rate)
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 95764299, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 95764299, $1,000

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Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

ResolvedStarmer out by...?$7,235 tracked3 signalsStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.