Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran talks in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,210 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x8a98152% win rate

Total

$5,210

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $2,240 @ 85¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $1,700 @ 85¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
    $1,270 @ 75¢
US-Iran talks in late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter