Part of: Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,288.
Categories: Politics, Middle East, Geopolitics, Trump, Iran, US-Iran, U.S. x Iran, Diplomacy & Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
An 88% win-rate serial cross-market trader just put $10k into No on a major geopolitics market, a pattern worth tracking despite the rich 87¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 101 markets and has traded nearly $795k
- They make repeated event-level bets across 77 events, which suggests a consistent macro thesis process
- They bought No at 87¢, pricing this as a high-probability outcome in a major news-driven market
$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
A proven cross-market trader with a 76% win rate sold Yes at 19¢ on this Iran de-escalation market, extending a broader multi-market thesis across the same event.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved markets and has tracked this event across 122 markets.
- They sold Yes at 19¢, which is effectively a bet on No at an implied 81% chance.
- The trader has put nearly $13k across 3 related markets in this event, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off trade.
$5,711 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
A 7-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed very large bets across the platform and just sold No at 81¢ on a major geopolitics market, signaling fresh high-conviction positioning rather than routine trading.
- This 7-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts with about $413k flagged total
- They sold No at 81¢, which is effectively a bet on Yes around 19¢ before the market moved to 26¢
- The trade is large at $53k, but still in a liquid geopolitics market with nearly $345k in 24-hour volume
$53,117 on Yes
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
A 12-wallet linked cluster is deploying meaningful capital on NO in a major geopolitics market, and this wallet entered with a concentrated $22.5k buy.
- 12 linked wallets funded by the same address have been active together, a strong sign of coordinated conviction
- This wallet put $22.5k on NO in a major geopolitics market with deep enough liquidity to take the bet seriously
- The trade entered at 83¢, showing a high-confidence view that no official end-of-operations announcement will come by March 31
$22,460 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 10840458, $348,961 (70% win rate)
- 0xd57d...80d0 — Outcome 10840458, $47,411 (81% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 10840458, $33,384 (86% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 10840458, $19,405 (85% win rate)
- 0xa022...77f8 — Outcome 10840458, $16,746 (65% win rate)
- 0x5ff8...54ad — Outcome 10840458, $14,287
- 0x713f...d6dd — Outcome 10840458, $9,000
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 10840458, $8,229 (70% win rate)
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 10840458, $7,000 (37% win rate)
- 0xeeb1...bf68 — Outcome 10840458, $6,163