US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $29,355.

Notable Trades

Linked sharp bettor cluster

A highly profitable 85% win-rate trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster just put $29k into No on a geopolitics market, suggesting coordinated conviction from a proven sharp bettor.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime.
  • Five wallets share the same funder, pointing to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought No at 85¢ in a geopolitics market with decent size, showing confidence even before a large move.

$29,355 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x000d...758e No, $35,320 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xdbad...9c95 No, $33,939 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x5f56...268a Yes, $29,912
  4. 0x00f7...7c66 Yes, $29,256
  5. 0xb464...1d98 Yes, $25,700
  6. 0x8454...331a No, $19,025 (94% win rate)
  7. 0xdf17...97d1 No, $17,163 (46% win rate)
  8. 0xb4f2...e5fa No, $15,172 (69% win rate)
  9. 0xb917...02c6 Yes, $12,818 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x2008...0877 Yes, $11,953

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

57d$29,355 tracked1 signalTrumpIranU.S. x IranGeopoliticsIran CeasefirePolitics
Yes
18¢
No
83¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

56m ago

$29,355 on No at 85¢

85¢83¢2¢

Related Theses

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | PolySpotter