US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
76 signals across 3 markets · $390,133 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the US government or military will officially confirm it has gained possession of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran. Traders are pricing outcomes across multiple deadlines, including May 31 and December 31, with PolySpotter tracking $127,619 in smart money activity and 17 signals across the event.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying longshot Yes
Three experienced cross-market bettors, including a 90% winner and a $1.8M-profit wallet, are all positioning Yes on a geopolitical uranium market at roughly 11–12¢.
$7,290Score: 16.1 - 19-wallet sharp cluster
A proven profitable trader from a 19-wallet linked cluster bought No at 81¢ in a geopolitics market, combining strong track record with coordinated-wallet context.
$4,050Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 12.0 - Profitable cross-market whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes amid a major volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market.
$8,261Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 10.1 - Serial geopolitics bettor
High composite alert driven by a serial cross-market bettor with a strong resolved-bet record plus a major volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative so conviction is moderate rather than top-tier.
$2,682Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1 - Proven geopolitics grinder
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a large $47k position added during a major volume spike on a geopolitics market.
$47,329Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.7 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate bought $7.5k of No while also positioning across a related market.
$7,477Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.0 - Serial cross-market sharp
A proven 75% winner with $222k lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history is re-entering the No side despite a liquid market.
$3,792Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.0 - 91% win-rate serial trader
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Yes at 14¢ on a geopolitical market.
$1,089Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.0 - 89% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is effectively backing No at 90¢.
$1,111Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.0 - 90% win-rate cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 90% resolved win rate is buying Yes on a geopolitical market where informed positioning is plausible.
$1,778Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$91,849 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xdf17f4…97d1$40,401 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 54% wins
- 0x026036…0d88$35,993 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x475518…4158$32,875 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x0c0e27…434e$25,886 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$17,361 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 80% wins
- 0xc84f7e…e0c5$17,152 · 2 markets · 8 alerts · 87% wins
- 0x162f6f…798d$15,236 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$13,306 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xf9b716…60a4$10,078 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 62% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium?
The odds move as traders buy and sell shares in the event’s child markets, including the May 31 and December 31 deadlines. PolySpotter tracks these Polymarket prices alongside smart money flows so you can see how expectations are changing.
What counts as the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium?
The market requires an official US government or military announcement or confirmation that the United States has physical custody or control of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran. Deals, plans, or commitments alone do not count unless possession is confirmed.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $127,619 in smart money activity across this event, including signals from a 19-wallet sharp cluster, a proven geopolitics grinder, and profitable serial cross-market bettors. These alerts can help show whether experienced traders are taking a side.
Why are there multiple markets for this event?
This event hub covers related Polymarket child markets with different deadlines, such as whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 or by December 31. The hub lets you compare how traders price the same geopolitical outcome across timeframes.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
Resolution depends on the specific child market deadline and whether an official confirmation occurs. The event includes markets tied to May 31 and December 31, with final resolution based on the rules for each market.