Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,562 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
    $1,062 @ 78¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 56¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
    $1,500 @ 20¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter