Part of: Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,167.

Categories: Middle East, Litani, Politics, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, Israel, Lebanon, Israel x Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial geopolitics bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with over $1.16M lifetime P&L bought No at 90¢ in a relatively quiet geopolitical market.

  • This bettor is up $1.16M lifetime across 954 resolved trades.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 62 events and $5.2M in flagged positioning.
  • The bet is on a quiet market where this $1.3K buy was meaningful versus recent volume.

$2,842 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial geopolitics bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with over $1.16M lifetime P&L bought No at 90¢ in a relatively quiet geopolitical market.

  • This bettor is up $1.16M lifetime across 954 resolved trades.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 62 events and $5.2M in flagged positioning.
  • The bet is on a quiet market where this $1.3K buy was meaningful versus recent volume.

$1,324 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x01a2...b1a0 Outcome 40880621, $15,295 (20% win rate)
  2. 0x1086...27d2 Outcome 40880621, $7,000 (60% win rate)
  3. 0xad79...8499 Outcome 40880621, $6,694
  4. 0x4c2d...f8ae Outcome 40880621, $3,855 (42% win rate)
  5. 0xa204...bf99 Outcome 40880621, $3,853 (0% win rate)
  6. 0xf86f...256f Outcome 40880621, $3,796 (43% win rate)
  7. 0x9013...fc71 Outcome 40880621, $3,098 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x5139...9402 Outcome 40880621, $3,024
  9. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 40880621, $1,836 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xae7c...487e Outcome 40880621, $1,818 (86% win rate)

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Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

ResolvedIsraeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?$4,167 tracked2 signalsMiddle EastLitaniPoliticsRewards 50, 4.5, 20IsraelLebanonIsrael x IranGeopolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

65d ago

$2,842 on No at 90¢

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

69d ago

$1,324 on No at 90¢

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