Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
This prediction market asks whether Ricardo Belmont will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, including any required second round. Peru’s general election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, and the market resolves based on the candidate who ultimately wins, using a consensus of credible reporting. If the winner is still not known definitively by October 31, 2026, the market resolves to "Other."
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,001.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru, Peru Election
Notable Trades
84% win-rate event trader
A proven high-performing political trader with an 84% win rate is expressing a broad event-level thesis across seven related Peru election markets, and this trade translates to buying 'No' on Belmont at 82¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k across $2.46M invested
- They have bet $70k across 7 Peru election markets, which suggests a broader election thesis rather than a one-off trade
- This sale of Yes at 18¢ is equivalent to buying No at 82¢, in line with recent momentum as Belmont's odds have risen 16 points this week
$1,001 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $219,637
- 0x682d...31ab — No, $104,149
- 0xdc03...804c — Yes, $68,240 (84% win rate)
- 0x784f...5df9 — Yes, $50,472 (87% win rate)
- 0x26ff...8ed7 — No, $35,789
- 0xf1f9...1245 — Yes, $31,038 (57% win rate)
- 0x7fdc...1830 — No, $21,865
- 0x0490...c81f — Yes, $20,469 (50% win rate)
- 0xfa56...b2c7 — Yes, $17,266
- 0xc01f...cd8e — Yes, $16,943
