Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal comes in July”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $36,352 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x162f667% win rate

Total

$36,352

Markets

10

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
    $2,290 @ 77¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
    $2,595 @ 26¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $11,400 @ 57¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $1,388 @ 83¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $4,976 @ 53¢
  6. 6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
    $1,828 @ 90¢
  7. 7US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $5,201 @ 85¢
  8. 8US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
    $1,105 @ 89¢
  9. 9US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
    $4,024 @ 70¢
  10. 10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
    $1,546 @ 13¢
Iran deal comes in July — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter