Part of: US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $181,678.
Categories: Iran, Trump, Blockade, Politics, shipping, Peace Deal, Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
10-wallet Yes consensus
A coordinated 10-wallet move toward Yes, spanning three related markets, is a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet’s mediocre track record and existing No position.
- Ten wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $39,000 to the same outcome.
- This trader reduced No exposure across three sales, equivalent to buying Yes at an average of about 43¢.
- The wallet is profitable overall but has only a 55% win rate, so the coordinated flow matters more than its individual record.
$14,354 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Serial 90% winner adds to No
A serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate is adding $5,271 to an existing No position, though the edge over their typical winning price is modest.
- This bettor has won 90% of 113 resolved trades and is up $153,487 overall.
- They are adding $5,271 to an existing No position at 88¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The No price has recently risen to 88% after a 17-point daily move, supporting the direction but limiting upside.
$5,271 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
94% winner in 19-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to a No position alongside 19 linked wallets, creating strong corroborated conviction.
- This bettor has won 94% of 235 resolved trades and is up $154,480, while buying at an average winning price of 69%.
- Nineteen wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, with this trader adding another $5,000 to an existing position.
- The No share was bought at 84¢, implying the trader sees the blockade continuing through the deadline as highly likely.
$6,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
10-wallet Yes consensus
A coordinated 10-wallet move toward Yes, spanning three related markets, is a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet’s mediocre track record and existing No position.
- Ten wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $39,000 to the same outcome.
- This trader reduced No exposure across three sales, equivalent to buying Yes at an average of about 43¢.
- The wallet is profitable overall but has only a 55% win rate, so the coordinated flow matters more than its individual record.
$4,946 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
10-wallet Yes consensus
A coordinated 10-wallet move toward Yes, spanning three related markets, is a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet’s mediocre track record and existing No position.
- Ten wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $39,000 to the same outcome.
- This trader reduced No exposure across three sales, equivalent to buying Yes at an average of about 43¢.
- The wallet is profitable overall but has only a 55% win rate, so the coordinated flow matters more than its individual record.
$9,219 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
10-wallet Yes consensus
A coordinated 10-wallet move toward Yes, spanning three related markets, is a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet’s mediocre track record and existing No position.
- Ten wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $39,000 to the same outcome.
- This trader reduced No exposure across three sales, equivalent to buying Yes at an average of about 43¢.
- The wallet is profitable overall but has only a 55% win rate, so the coordinated flow matters more than its individual record.
$6,683 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
10-wallet coordinated Yes buying
Ten wallets are buying Yes with nearly $39,000 of coordinated flow, although this individual wallet’s trades largely reflect existing-position management rather than fresh conviction.
- Ten wallets are aligned on Yes, committing nearly $39,000 to a market currently priced at just 28%.
- The coordinated buying is notable despite a 17.3-point one-day decline, suggesting traders are betting on a rebound or reversal.
- This wallet has a large but only moderately strong record: 58% wins across 1,360 resolved bets and $160,713 lifetime profit.
$5,659 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Four-wallet Yes buying cluster
Four wallets converted into roughly $10.6K of coordinated Yes exposure during a 10.4x volume spike, though the signal is weakened by prior positions and middling trader performance.
- Four wallets took roughly $10,553 of effective Yes exposure, including both direct Yes buys and No sells.
- The activity arrived during a 10.4x historical volume spike, suggesting an unusually concentrated thesis on the blockade ending.
- The traders are not elite copy candidates—track records are mixed, and several had prior positions on this market.
$9,237 on Yes
Sharp linked wallets rotate toward Yes
A proven 94% bettor and linked wallets are simultaneously selling No, creating a meaningful coordinated signal toward Yes despite the market’s recent Yes rally.
- A bettor with a 94% win rate across 257 resolved trades and $183,000 in profit is selling No around 64¢.
- Three wallets are aligned, with the broader funding network spanning 19 wallets and the lead trader active across 52 events.
- The equivalent Yes entry is about 36¢, while recent momentum has already pushed Yes up 16.8% in one day.
$3,947 on Yes
94% winner in 19-wallet No cluster
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to a No position alongside 19 linked wallets, creating strong corroborated conviction.
- This bettor has won 94% of 235 resolved trades and is up $154,480, while buying at an average winning price of 69%.
- Nineteen wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, with this trader adding another $5,000 to an existing position.
- The No share was bought at 84¢, implying the trader sees the blockade continuing through the deadline as highly likely.
$1,806 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xc84f...e0c5 — Outcome 10501812, $112,237 (88% win rate)
- 0x134a...9e42 — Outcome 10501812, $57,221 (85% win rate)
- 0x1cc1...b8df — Outcome 10501812, $50,827 (56% win rate)
- 0x162f...798d — Outcome 10501812, $40,273 (67% win rate)
- 0xbaa2...2c73 — Outcome 10501812, $22,845 (64% win rate)
- 0x28ba...b673 — Outcome 10501812, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 10501812, $17,790 (72% win rate)
- 0xaacb...90cb — Outcome 10501812, $12,646 (70% win rate)
- 0x5ccf...79d7 — Outcome 10501812, $12,381 (64% win rate)
- 0xdf17...97d1 — Outcome 10501812, $10,974 (56% win rate)
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