Cross-Market Thesis
“US-Iran talks happen by April”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $9,592 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x4478d59% win rate
Total
$9,592
Markets
6
Positions
- 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$3,019 @ 75¢
- 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1,140 @ 57¢
- 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$1,194 @ 60¢
- 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1,089 @ 75¢
- 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,350 @ 45¢
- 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,800 @ 36¢