Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $1,050 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event tracks the prediction market for whether Israel and Iran will agree to a permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the chance of a lasting agreement that clearly ends military hostilities, while PolySpotter monitors smart-money activity such as a recent funded-cluster signal tied to an 80% winner.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x97947c…01c8$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of an Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
The live odds are determined by the Polymarket market for this event, where traders buy and sell positions on whether a qualifying permanent peace deal happens before the deadline.
What counts as a permanent peace deal in this market?
The market resolves Yes if Israel and Iran agree to a deal that explicitly says military hostilities have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language signaling a lasting end to hostilities. Temporary ceasefires or vague agreements generally would not qualify.
What is the smart money doing on this Israel-Iran peace deal market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,050 in smart-money activity across this event, including one recent signal described as an “80% winner in funded cluster,” which may indicate notable positioning by historically successful or connected wallets.
When does the Israel-Iran peace deal market resolve?
The event is tied to the child market asking whether a permanent peace deal is reached by June 30, 2026, with resolution based on whether qualifying evidence exists by the specified deadline.
Where can I track Israel-Iran peace deal prediction market activity?
You can use this PolySpotter event page to follow the related Polymarket odds, smart-money signals, and trading activity around whether Israel and Iran reach a permanent peace deal by the deadline.