MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
8 signals across 2 markets · $180,759 tracked · resolves Aug 4, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District. The event currently covers whether Donavan McKinney wins the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary, with PolySpotter tracking $3,699 in smart money and a perfect-record linked-wallet cluster alert.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets scaling into Yes
A concentrated $70,000 Yes position from multiple wallets is supported by a highly profitable 84% win-rate trader and a major volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against the initial entries.
$70,177Score: 8.9 - Perfect-record linked-wallet cluster
A perfect-record bettor is adding to an existing Yes position while three linked wallets concentrate $3,699 in the market.
$3,699Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.3 - Profitable serial trader takes $34K position
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and $1.14M lifetime profit made a large $34,000 position in a relatively thin market, though the conflicting Yes and No trades make the signal less clean.
$34,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.9 - Serial trader scales into No
A serial cross-market trader added to an existing No position during a 208x volume spike and major repricing, though their historical edge is modest.
$2,707Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 5.9 - Sharp trader buys Yes cheaply
A highly profitable serial trader effectively bought Yes at 11¢, followed by a sharp 30-point rise in the market’s Yes price.
$7,559Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.9 - Serial trader flips bullish amid volume surge
A serial cross-market trader with $2.45M in activity reversed a prior No position and bought Yes amid a 75x volume spike, though the entry offers limited price edge.
$2,520Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.3 - Serial trader doubles down on Yes
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable history added $58.8K to an existing Yes position during a 301x volume spike, despite the market later falling sharply.
$58,817Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.1 - Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A proven bettor with an 83% win rate and $41,155 profit is adding to an existing Yes position, though the market is already priced at 88%.
$1,280Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe899b5…0899$58,817 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$41,559 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$3,699 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xc8b9a3…b836$2,707 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x7bc141…8db4$2,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xc62d2e…74fc$1,280 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the MI-13 Democratic primary odds?
Polymarket lists a market on whether Donavan McKinney will become the Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District. Check the live market page for current prices and implied odds.
Who is being traded in the MI-13 Democratic primary prediction market?
The current child market asks whether Donavan McKinney will be the Democratic nominee. The event can resolve to another outcome if a different candidate wins or if the market’s stated fallback conditions apply.
What is smart money doing in the MI-13 primary market?
PolySpotter tracks $3,699 in smart money across this event and one signal, including an alert for a perfect-record linked-wallet cluster. These signals indicate notable trading activity, not a guaranteed result.
When is the MI-13 Democratic primary?
The Democratic primary for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
When will the MI-13 Democratic nominee market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve based on the officially recognized Democratic nominee after the primary. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, it resolves to “Other,” according to the listed rules.