Event

Naim Qassem OUT AS Hezbollahs Secretary General BY December 31

5 signals across 2 markets · $10,447 tracked

Markets (2)

  1. Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?3 signals · $6,807 tracked
  2. Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?2 signals · $3,641 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 84% win-rate cross-market bettor

    A proven 84% win-rate trader bought Yes at 46¢ ahead of a sharp move to 58% in a wide-spread geopolitical market, making this a credible signal worth watching.

    $1,996Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.5
  2. 70% winner buys quiet NO

    Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a very quiet geopolitical market, with the trade equal to about 15x the past day's volume.

    $1,848Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0
  3. 3 winning wallets pile into Yes

    Three wallets with very high historical win rates piled into Yes together as this market ripped higher in a relatively thin book, making the coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest dollar size.

    $3,685Score: 5.8
  4. Profitable geopolitical grinder

    A high-volume cross-market bettor with a strong long-term profit record made a sizable buy in a moderately thin geopolitical market, suggesting conviction worth monitoring.

    $1,645Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 4.0
  5. Profitable bettor buying NO

    Despite a weak trade-size signal, the buyer has a strong 87% resolved-bet record and is putting fresh money on No in a geopolitics market with light recent volume.

    $1,274Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 1.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x4133f8ea5d$1,996 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
  2. 0xb4f259e5fa$1,848 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
  3. 0x8f42aeb88f$1,645 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
  4. 0x88c491129a$1,274 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins

More on this event