Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
14 signals across 2 markets · $48,747 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks who attends the next official diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran, with the current child market focused on whether J.D. Vance will attend. PolySpotter has tracked $28,456 in smart money activity across 4 signals, with recent alerts showing whales and a high win-rate trader leaning toward No.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 83% winner cross-market sharp
Sharp 83% lifetime bettor with strong profits and serial cross-market activity bought Yes on a relatively quiet US-Iran diplomacy market.
$1,115Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 13.3 - 82% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is effectively buying Yes while also showing a strong serial cross-market pattern.
$1,496Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.0 - 82% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is effectively buying Yes while also showing a strong serial cross-market pattern.
$1,483Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.0 - 82% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is effectively buying Yes while also showing a strong serial cross-market pattern.
$2,736Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.0 - New whale buying No
A 9-day-old repeat wallet put $10k into No during a major volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction on a politically relevant market.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.5 - New whale betting No
A 9-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $13k into this geopolitics market during a 43x volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching despite limited track record.
$13,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.1 - 86% win-rate event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate is taking a fresh bearish view here by selling Yes at 61¢, which converts to buying No at 39¢.
$2,456Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.0 - 82% winner buying dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 82% record across 11 resolved positions with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Yes despite recent weakness.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.0 - New wallet pressing NO
A 9-day-old wallet has already repeatedly placed large bets and just put another $3,000 into No on a politically relevant market, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching despite limited history.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - 82% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is effectively buying Yes while also showing a strong serial cross-market pattern.
$4,536Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x20eb50…bc89$26,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$15,385 · 2 markets · 7 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xae7c98…487e$3,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x5ee92d…2673$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x68c24b…1711$1,197 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x0cb16f…dea6$1,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What is this US-Iran diplomatic meeting prediction market about?
This event covers Polymarket markets on who will attend the next official diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian representatives. The listed market asks whether J.D. Vance attends that meeting before the resolution deadline.
What are smart money traders betting on?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple smart money signals on the No side, including a new whale buying No, another whale betting No, and a new wallet pressing No. PolySpotter has tracked $28,456 in smart money activity for this event.
How do the odds resolve for J.D. Vance attending?
The market resolves Yes if J.D. Vance attends the next qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting in an official capacity by the deadline. If he does not attend, or no qualifying meeting occurs in time, it resolves No under the market rules.
When does this US-Iran meeting market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 30, 2026, based on whether the listed individual attends the next qualifying diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran.
Where can I track US-Iran meeting odds on Polymarket?
You can use this PolySpotter hub to follow the event’s Polymarket odds, market movement, and smart money alerts for the available attendance outcomes.