Part of: Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

This Polymarket asks whether Steve Witkoff will attend the next official diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran before the June 30, 2026 deadline. The market resolves “Yes” only if he attends a qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting in an official context; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,115 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal on this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,115.

Categories: Politics, Vance, Iran, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics, Trump, Kushner, Iran Ceasefire, rubio, Witkoff

Notable Trades

83% winner cross-market sharp

Sharp 83% lifetime bettor with strong profits and serial cross-market activity bought Yes on a relatively quiet US-Iran diplomacy market.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $427,695 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with $1.56M in flagged activity.
  • The buy is meaningful in a quiet market with only $2,414 traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcbab...9a8a Yes, $2,262 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x5739...5f1a No, $2,156 (53% win rate)
  3. 0xc91b...93bd No, $1,754
  4. 0xda91...9ffd No, $1,737
  5. 0x5654...b33e Yes, $1,373 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x9ca1...13b5 No, $1,200 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x0a6d...1d0a No, $1,166
  8. 0x526e...7c43 Yes, $1,138
  9. 0xbacd...ab35 Yes, $929 (48% win rate)
  10. 0x2dc5...da90 No, $925

Related Theses

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No US-Iran meeting by June

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Iran keeps airspace open

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Iran peace deal by June

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Iran won't surrender uranium

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Blockade lifted in late May

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Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

40dWho will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1,115 tracked1 signalPoliticsVanceIranU.S. x IranGeopoliticsTrumpKushnerIran CeasefirerubioWitkoff
Yes
60¢
No
40¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
61¢
51¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

2d ago

$1,115 on Yes at 56¢

56¢60¢4¢

Related Theses