Who will meet with Iran by April 30?
2 signals across 2 markets · $2,548 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Donald Trump or J.D. Vance will hold a qualifying diplomatic meeting with representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the likelihood of each U.S. figure physically attending and participating in negotiations, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity across both outcomes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% winner flips to Yes
A proven high-win-rate trader with a broad cross-market track record flipped from No to Yes on this geopolitical market, suggesting a meaningful thesis change worth watching.
$1,548Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.8 - Repeat new wallet buyer
A 12-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size across positions and just bought Yes at 23¢ in a politically relevant market that has already moved up, making it a plausible informed-conviction new wallet despite limited resolved history.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$1,548 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x9a3917…b87f$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Trump or Vance meets with Iran by April 30?
The live Polymarket odds for this event reflect separate markets for Donald Trump and J.D. Vance meeting Iranian representatives. Check the event hub for the latest prices, probability shifts, and trading activity across both outcomes.
What does this Iran meeting prediction market resolve on?
Each child market resolves to Yes only if the listed individual is physically present at a diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives and actively participates as a U.S. negotiator by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,548 in smart money activity across this event, including signals such as an 88% winner flipping to Yes and a repeat new wallet buyer. These alerts suggest some experienced or notable traders have recently shown interest on the Yes side.
Is this a Trump-Iran or Vance-Iran Polymarket event?
It covers both. The event hub groups related Polymarket markets for whether Donald Trump or J.D. Vance will have a qualifying diplomatic meeting with Iran by the deadline.
When does the Iran diplomatic meeting market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying meeting occurs by April 30, 2026. Resolution depends on the market rules and credible evidence that the listed person attended and participated as a U.S. representative.