Part of: US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,795.
Categories: Peace Deal, Politics, Iran, Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $821k lifetime.
- They have traded 200 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 42¢ implies they see extension odds as overpriced.
$1,476 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial trader buys Yes
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate is taking a fresh $3,600 equivalent position on Yes at 27–28% despite a sharp recent decline.
- This bettor has won 70% of 63 resolved trades and is up $76,240 lifetime.
- The trader is effectively buying Yes around 27–28% with $3,600, opposing a 35% one-week drop in Yes pricing.
- Their activity spans 27 events and 39 markets, suggesting a substantial repeat-trading record rather than a one-off bet.
$3,602 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial cross-market sharp buying Yes
A proven, highly profitable serial trader is taking a fresh bullish position on Yes by selling No at an effective 35% price.
- This bettor wins 83% of 47 resolved trades and is up $41,329.
- Selling No at 65¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 35¢, despite Yes recently falling 23%.
- The wallet has traded across 28 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable information edge rather than a one-off bet.
$1,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $94.7K lifetime.
- 17 wallets share the same funder, and this wallet is adding to an existing No position.
- The market has moved strongly toward No over the past week, and they are still buying at 54¢.
$2,463 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
90% cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 90% resolved win rate bought $5k of Yes on a geopolitical extension market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $31.6k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
- A $5k buy at 63¢ implies confidence despite a liquid order book and stable recent price.
$1,694 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $821k lifetime.
- They have traded 200 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 42¢ implies they see extension odds as overpriced.
$1,002 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $821k lifetime.
- They have traded 200 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 42¢ implies they see extension odds as overpriced.
$1,596 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $821k lifetime.
- They have traded 200 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 42¢ implies they see extension odds as overpriced.
$3,087 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $94.7K lifetime.
- 17 wallets share the same funder, and this wallet is adding to an existing No position.
- The market has moved strongly toward No over the past week, and they are still buying at 54¢.
$1,486 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $94.7K lifetime.
- 17 wallets share the same funder, and this wallet is adding to an existing No position.
- The market has moved strongly toward No over the past week, and they are still buying at 54¢.
$2,148 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xc84f...e0c5 — Outcome 93838758, $74,351 (87% win rate)
- 0xc15b...38af — Outcome 93838758, $40,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 93838758, $19,836 (73% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 93838758, $18,574 (73% win rate)
- 0x38f5...6824 — Outcome 93838758, $15,925 (51% win rate)
- 0xbbce...3da1 — Outcome 93838758, $13,948
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 93838758, $10,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x79d9...baec — Outcome 93838758, $7,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 93838758, $7,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x7e31...454d — Outcome 93838758, $6,309 (70% win rate)
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