Part of: Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $197,555.

Categories: Trump, Geopolitics, Politics, Nuclear, Middle East, World, Iran, Iran Ceasefire, Negotiation Topics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate is taking a low-priced Yes position after a sharp selloff.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $45.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 43 events and 62 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
  • Entry at 5¢ is a longshot bet after Yes fell sharply, implying they see rebound value.

$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable sharp buying momentum

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate bought Yes amid strong upward momentum in a geopolitics market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $443k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 67¢ while the market has climbed 46.5 points over the past week.
  • The market is highly active with $1.6M traded in 24h, so this looks like a sharp wallet following real momentum.

$2,226 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable new wallet flips No

A 4-day-old profitable wallet flipped from a closed Yes position into a $4.4k No bet while No rapidly moved higher.

  • This 4-day-old wallet is already up $7.3k and is putting $4.4k behind No.
  • The bettor closed a prior Yes position and flipped to No, signaling a fresh change in view.
  • No jumped 14.5 points in about 4 minutes, matching the direction of this trade.

$4,356 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial trader flips No

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped from a prior Yes position into a $6.4k No bet amid a major volume spike and strong recent price movement.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 1,106 resolved bets and is up about $264k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.0M deployed across 70 events, suggesting this is part of a broader thesis.
  • They flipped from a prior Yes position into No after a sharp Yes rally, while market volume spiked 115x above normal.

$2,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Elite serial macro bettor

Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 551 resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events, 33 markets, and $174k in similar positioning.
  • They bought No at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 63¢ in their direction.

$2,356 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial trader buying Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.

  • This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 158 markets across 110 events, suggesting deep experience in event-based positioning.
  • Yes has already moved from 44¢ entry to 48¢, with the market up 34 points over the past week.

$13,573 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Elite serial macro bettor

Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 551 resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events, 33 markets, and $174k in similar positioning.
  • They bought No at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 63¢ in their direction.

$4,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the Yes side on a high-volume Iran enrichment market during a major volume spike, though the position is modest and currently moved against them.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 259 resolved trades and is up $22.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $242K deployed across 67 markets and 48 events.
  • The market is seeing a 15.6x volume spike, and this trade effectively backs Yes at 36¢.

$1,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial trader buying Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.

  • This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 158 markets across 110 events, suggesting deep experience in event-based positioning.
  • Yes has already moved from 44¢ entry to 48¢, with the market up 34 points over the past week.

$1,269 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial macro trader

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% record and $269k lifetime profit bought No despite the market’s recent Yes momentum.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 407 resolved trades and is up $269k lifetime.
  • They are highly experienced across related markets, with $8.4M traded over 174 markets.
  • Buying No at 53¢ goes against a strong Yes rally, suggesting a deliberate contrarian view.

$1,681 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x53e5...6177 Outcome 25525886, $175,550 (44% win rate)
  2. 0xde7b...5f4b Outcome 25525886, $65,294 (79% win rate)
  3. 0xcb59...0a22 Outcome 25525886, $20,000 (68% win rate)
  4. 0xf1ef...8cd6 Outcome 25525886, $20,000 (53% win rate)
  5. 0xb476...6eac Outcome 25525886, $18,888 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x8c0b...f0fb Outcome 25525886, $18,862 (81% win rate)
  7. 0xd109...6fa0 Outcome 25525886, $15,555 (78% win rate)
  8. 0xe234...304a Outcome 25525886, $15,247 (69% win rate)
  9. 0xb100...6461 Outcome 25525886, $13,993 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x7919...72b2 Outcome 56765604, $12,000 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 4 related markets

Iran closes airspace late June

Covers 7 related markets

Trump lifts Hormuz blockade

Covers 5 related markets

Iran deal likely soon

Covers 10 related markets

US-Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 11 related markets

Iran deal before mid-June

Covers 6 related markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Resolved Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$197,555 tracked50 signalsTrumpGeopoliticsPoliticsNuclearMiddle EastWorldIranIran CeasefireNegotiation Topics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
102¢
98¢
94¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

11d ago

$1,250 on Yes at 5¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,226 on Yes at 67¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$4,356 on No at 79¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,280 on No at 64¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,356 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$13,573 on Yes at 44¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$4,900 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,085 on Yes at 36¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,269 on Yes at 44¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,681 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$6,265 on Yes at 61¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$5,237 on Yes at 67¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,425 on Yes at 44¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,242 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$3,364 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,403 on Yes at 75¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$7,831 on Yes at 65¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,975 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,500 on No at 47¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,053 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$4,400 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$32,200 on Yes at 44¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,098 on Yes at 65¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,773 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,382 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$4,315 on Yes at 67¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,788 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,020 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$2,792 on No at 33¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$1,783 on Yes at 75¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$7,583 on Yes at 75¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$5,360 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$4,687 on Yes at 44¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$1,151 on Yes at 38¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$1,080 on Yes at 61¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$3,787 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$3,000 on No at 37¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$1,607 on No at 40¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$1,088 on Yes at 61¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13d ago

$2,241 on Yes at 47¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$2,928 on Yes at 33¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$4,500 on No at 60¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$1,228 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$1,433 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$1,358 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$6,534 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$3,225 on No at 53¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$1,814 on No at 50¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

14d ago

$1,057 on Yes at 65¢

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

12d ago

$14,072 on Yes at 28¢

Related Theses