Part of: Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $197,555.
Categories: Trump, Geopolitics, Politics, Nuclear, Middle East, World, Iran, Iran Ceasefire, Negotiation Topics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate is taking a low-priced Yes position after a sharp selloff.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $45.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 events and 62 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
- Entry at 5¢ is a longshot bet after Yes fell sharply, implying they see rebound value.
$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable sharp buying momentum
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate bought Yes amid strong upward momentum in a geopolitics market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $443k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 67¢ while the market has climbed 46.5 points over the past week.
- The market is highly active with $1.6M traded in 24h, so this looks like a sharp wallet following real momentum.
$2,226 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable new wallet flips No
A 4-day-old profitable wallet flipped from a closed Yes position into a $4.4k No bet while No rapidly moved higher.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $7.3k and is putting $4.4k behind No.
- The bettor closed a prior Yes position and flipped to No, signaling a fresh change in view.
- No jumped 14.5 points in about 4 minutes, matching the direction of this trade.
$4,356 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial trader flips No
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped from a prior Yes position into a $6.4k No bet amid a major volume spike and strong recent price movement.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,106 resolved bets and is up about $264k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.0M deployed across 70 events, suggesting this is part of a broader thesis.
- They flipped from a prior Yes position into No after a sharp Yes rally, while market volume spiked 115x above normal.
$2,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Elite serial macro bettor
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.
- This bettor has won 89% of 551 resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events, 33 markets, and $174k in similar positioning.
- They bought No at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 63¢ in their direction.
$2,356 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial trader buying Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.
- This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved bets.
- They have traded 158 markets across 110 events, suggesting deep experience in event-based positioning.
- Yes has already moved from 44¢ entry to 48¢, with the market up 34 points over the past week.
$13,573 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Elite serial macro bettor
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.
- This bettor has won 89% of 551 resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events, 33 markets, and $174k in similar positioning.
- They bought No at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 63¢ in their direction.
$4,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the Yes side on a high-volume Iran enrichment market during a major volume spike, though the position is modest and currently moved against them.
- This bettor has won 70% of 259 resolved trades and is up $22.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $242K deployed across 67 markets and 48 events.
- The market is seeing a 15.6x volume spike, and this trade effectively backs Yes at 36¢.
$1,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader buying Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.
- This bettor is up $1.19M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved bets.
- They have traded 158 markets across 110 events, suggesting deep experience in event-based positioning.
- Yes has already moved from 44¢ entry to 48¢, with the market up 34 points over the past week.
$1,269 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial macro trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% record and $269k lifetime profit bought No despite the market’s recent Yes momentum.
- This bettor has won 75% of 407 resolved trades and is up $269k lifetime.
- They are highly experienced across related markets, with $8.4M traded over 174 markets.
- Buying No at 53¢ goes against a strong Yes rally, suggesting a deliberate contrarian view.
$1,681 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x53e5...6177 — Outcome 25525886, $175,550 (44% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 25525886, $65,294 (79% win rate)
- 0xcb59...0a22 — Outcome 25525886, $20,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xf1ef...8cd6 — Outcome 25525886, $20,000 (53% win rate)
- 0xb476...6eac — Outcome 25525886, $18,888 (60% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...f0fb — Outcome 25525886, $18,862 (81% win rate)
- 0xd109...6fa0 — Outcome 25525886, $15,555 (78% win rate)
- 0xe234...304a — Outcome 25525886, $15,247 (69% win rate)
- 0xb100...6461 — Outcome 25525886, $13,993 (59% win rate)
- 0x7919...72b2 — Outcome 56765604, $12,000 (96% win rate)
Related Theses
No US-Iran peace deal
Covers 4 related markets
Iran closes airspace late June
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Trump lifts Hormuz blockade
Covers 5 related markets
Iran deal likely soon
Covers 10 related markets
US-Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 11 related markets
Iran deal before mid-June
Covers 6 related markets
