Part of: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,246.
Categories: Economy, close, Iran, U.S. x Iran, Oil, Strait of Hormuz, Hormuz, Geopolitics, Trump
Notable Trades
41-0 wallet flips bullish
A very strong 41-0 profitable wallet sold No, effectively taking the Yes side, with price impact and cross-market activity despite prior No exposure.
- This bettor has won 41 of 41 resolved bets and is up about $211K lifetime.
- They sold $7.2K of No, which is effectively a Yes bet at 18¢.
- The trade moved against their prior No exposure, suggesting a deliberate change in view rather than a routine add.
$7,246 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 20475881, $7,205 (81% win rate)
- 0xa10b...8ec6 — Outcome 20475881, $2,075 (67% win rate)
- 0xcc26...32ca — Outcome 20475881, $1,462 (44% win rate)
- 0x12d6...f2a8 — Outcome 20475881, $1,182 (48% win rate)
- 0x89a9...b8b0 — Outcome 20475881, $1,000
- 0x6dce...4490 — Outcome 20475881, $962 (19% win rate)
- 0x9612...205a — Outcome 20475881, $938
- 0xf6c7...8366 — Outcome 20475881, $919
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 20475881, $800 (42% win rate)
- 0x9690...f2d5 — Outcome 20475881, $751 (47% win rate)
Related Theses
US-Iran deal lands mid-June
Covers 7 related markets
Iran deal arrives in June
Covers 9 related markets
Hormuz blockade lifted in June
Covers 5 related markets
Iran uranium surrender in May
Covers 3 related markets
Hormuz sees heavy ship traffic
Covers 2 related markets
Iran closes airspace in May
Covers 3 related markets
