US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
76 signals across 14 markets · $530,809 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether the United States officially announces the end, lifting, termination, or suspension of its naval blockade involving Iranian ships and customers by the market deadline. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a qualifying public U.S. government announcement, with PolySpotter tracking $11,273 in smart-money activity and a recent signal from a profitable cross-market No bettor.
Markets (14)
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?16 signals · $181,678 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?26 signals · $148,781 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?12 signals · $80,741 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?2 signals · $31,892 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $20,863 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?2 signals · $16,146 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?5 signals · $12,642 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?1 signal · $11,273 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?2 signals · $7,997 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?2 signals · $4,357 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?3 signals · $4,177 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?2 signals · $4,176 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?1 signal · $3,386 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?1 signal · $2,700 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 30-wallet cluster backs No
A large coordinated No position from 30 wallets, including linked funding and a proven 76% bettor, coincided with a 17-point move against Yes.
$96,700Score: 12.9 - 19-wallet cluster rotates into Yes
A 19-wallet funded cluster coordinated roughly $10,000 of No exits, equivalent to a concentrated Yes rotation at 12–17¢, though prior No holdings make profit-taking a meaningful caveat.
$9,993Score: 11.3 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing No position while participating in a 19-wallet funded cluster.
$6,052Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.6 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing No position while participating in a 19-wallet funded cluster.
$4,950Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.6 - Sharp linked wallets rotate toward Yes
A proven 94% bettor and linked wallets are simultaneously selling No, creating a meaningful coordinated signal toward Yes despite the market’s recent Yes rally.
$3,947Score: 10.4 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable, 94% win-rate trader is adding substantial capital to No alongside a 19-wallet funded cluster on a relatively thin market.
$4,087Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1 - 19-wallet sharp-money No cluster
A highly profitable serial trader is adding to a No position alongside 19 linked wallets, creating a strong coordinated signal despite the market already pricing No at 90%.
$2,700Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable 94% wallet is adding to a No position within a 19-wallet funded cluster and has a strong cross-market record.
$2,746Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable 94% wallet is adding to a No position within a 19-wallet funded cluster and has a strong cross-market record.
$1,084Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1 - 94% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable 94% wallet is adding to a No position within a 19-wallet funded cluster and has a strong cross-market record.
$2,025Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x000d25…758e$76,756 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$55,030 · 5 markets · 17 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x8c66e2…44f3$52,423 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xa65c87…7997$35,202 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 62% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$15,281 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xbf4d20…33ed$14,512 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x122cb9…fbed$11,398 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x199df4…6e7b$11,273 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$9,647 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x85a858…9281$7,604 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US announces an end to the Iranian blockade?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance of an official U.S. announcement ending, lifting, terminating, or suspending the blockade by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart-money flows so you can see whether experienced wallets are leaning Yes or No.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,273 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert from a profitable cross-market bettor taking the No side. That signal suggests at least one historically successful wallet is betting against a qualifying announcement by the deadline.
What announcement would make this market resolve Yes?
The market is designed to resolve Yes if the U.S. government, or an authorized U.S. government representative, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers within the specified window.
When does this Iranian blockade prediction market resolve?
The child market focuses on whether a qualifying announcement happens by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event metadata lists resolution by August 31, 2026, which may allow time for final verification and settlement.