US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
4 signals across 4 markets · $20,011 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether the United States officially announces the end, lifting, termination, or suspension of its naval blockade involving Iranian ships and customers by the market deadline. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a qualifying public U.S. government announcement, with PolySpotter tracking $11,273 in smart-money activity and a recent signal from a profitable cross-market No bettor.
Markets (4)
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?1 signal · $11,273 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?1 signal · $3,642 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?1 signal · $3,386 tracked
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,710 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp clustered bettor adding No
Sharp 93% lifetime winner with a large existing position is adding to No, backed by serial cross-market behavior and an 18-wallet funded cluster.
$3,386Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - Profitable cross-market No bettor
Profitable 88% wallet is adding a five-figure No position across related Iran-blockade markets, with trades large relative to recent volume.
$11,273Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.3 - Serial cross-market No add
Serial cross-market trader with a positive long-run record is adding $3.6k to an existing No position on a geopolitical market with recent No momentum.
$3,642Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor adds to No
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $1,710 to an existing No position, though the alert has limited independent confirmation.
$1,710Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x199df4…6e7b$11,273 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xbf4d20…33ed$3,642 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$3,386 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x8c66e2…44f3$1,710 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US announces an end to the Iranian blockade?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance of an official U.S. announcement ending, lifting, terminating, or suspending the blockade by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart-money flows so you can see whether experienced wallets are leaning Yes or No.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,273 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert from a profitable cross-market bettor taking the No side. That signal suggests at least one historically successful wallet is betting against a qualifying announcement by the deadline.
What announcement would make this market resolve Yes?
The market is designed to resolve Yes if the U.S. government, or an authorized U.S. government representative, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers within the specified window.
When does this Iranian blockade prediction market resolve?
The child market focuses on whether a qualifying announcement happens by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event metadata lists resolution by August 31, 2026, which may allow time for final verification and settlement.