Part of: Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

This prediction market asks whether Steve Witkoff will attend an official US-Iran signing ceremony related to the written diplomatic agreement announced on June 14, 2026. The market resolves Yes if he attends such a ceremony by July 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,223 in smart money activity, including one recent signal from an 82% win-rate event specialist.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,223.

Categories: Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Peace Deal, Politics, Iran

Notable Trades

82% win-rate event specialist

A highly profitable 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin political event market despite recent odds falling.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $782k lifetime.
  • They are a serial event trader across 181 markets with $3.5M in similar cross-market activity.
  • Buying Yes at 45¢ after a sharp 1-day drop suggests they see value against the current 40¢ odds.

$1,223 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $3,017 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xfc2f...10c7 Yes, $2,786 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x7495...7fcf Yes, $842
  4. 0x68c2...1711 No, $722 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xbd04...fbb0 No, $702 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x0562...9d66 Yes, $500 (40% win rate)
  7. 0xc040...beac No, $490 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x7447...a16d No, $490 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xc7d0...1f8a Yes, $373
  10. 0x6d9f...9790 Yes, $310 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Hormuz blockade persists

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No US-Iran meeting by June

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WTI stays between $90 and $105

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Oil volatility explodes by June

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Iran peace deal won’t happen

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Iran closes airspace mid-May

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Iran deal by mid-June

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Iran surrenders uranium in May

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Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

19dWho will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?$1,223 tracked1 signalGeopoliticsU.S. x IranPeace DealPoliticsIran
Yes
24¢
No
77¢

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
83¢
46¢
10¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

2h ago

$1,223 on Yes at 45¢

45¢24¢21¢

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