Part of: What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether the United States, under Trump, will agree to unfreeze any Iranian assets by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It covers any release, transfer, or restoration of Iranian access to assets blocked by U.S. sanctions or restrictions. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,400 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market, with live odds updating as traders react to U.S.-Iran negotiations and geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to unfreeze any Iranian assets by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Unfreezing Iranian assets refers to the release, transfer, or restoration of Iranian access to any assets that are frozen, blocked, or otherwise inaccessible due to U.S. sanctions or restrictions. This includes both assets held in the United States and assets held in foreign jurisdictions where access is restricted due to U.S. sanctions. The removal of sanctions which freeze these assets will also be considered to be unfreezing Iranian assets. The United States will be considered to have agreed to unfreeze Iranian assets if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to unfreeze any Iranian assets. - The unfreezing of any Iranian assets is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,400.
Categories: Strait of Hormuz, Oil, Geopolitics, Iran, Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Uranium, Trump, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Sharp serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate and $543k profit bought No on a foreign-policy market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $543k lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with $2.4M deployed across 146 related markets.
- Buying No at 70¢ adds to a market that has already moved toward No over the past week.
$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x74bf...2a6e — Yes, $11,680 (70% win rate)
- 0x79a8...bb66 — No, $4,990
- 0xe222...b4cb — No, $3,996 (66% win rate)
- 0x02a1...dd72 — Yes, $3,500
- 0xf491...ee5e — No, $3,249
- 0xd4b7...65c0 — No, $3,100 (100% win rate)
- 0x80a0...5708 — Yes, $3,000 (36% win rate)
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Yes, $2,629 (49% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — No, $2,010 (82% win rate)
- 0x4911...7f5d — No, $1,772
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