Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
31 signals across 4 markets · $101,237 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds on where the next qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting will happen, or whether no qualifying meeting occurs by the June 30, 2026 deadline. Current child markets focus on the “no meeting” outcome and Pakistan as a possible host country, with PolySpotter tracking $4,907 in smart-money activity across 3 signals. Recent alerts include a 12-wallet geopolitical cluster, a 94% win-rate macro bettor, and a profitable cross-market bettor.
Markets (4)
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?19 signals · $61,929 tracked
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?6 signals · $25,339 tracked
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?5 signals · $7,854 tracked
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?1 signal · $6,115 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Linked wallets fading rally
High-score linked cluster and a profitable veteran faded a sharp Yes rally with $14.4k in equivalent No buying, though prior Yes positions suggest some profit-taking.
$14,419Score: 21.1 - 11-wallet cluster fading Yes
An 11-wallet funded cluster is fading Switzerland by selling Yes, with enough size to create a major price break on a geopolitics market where informed positioning is plausible.
$3,678Wallet win rate: 24%Score: 11.0 - 82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.
$3,828Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0 - 82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.
$2,115Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0 - Profitable cluster buying Yes
Three profitable wallets bought Yes in coordinated flow, including a +$1.18M wallet and a 76% winner, alongside strong recent price momentum.
$6,250Score: 8.1 - 94% win-rate diplomat bettor
A highly proven 94% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit and serial cross-market success bought Yes despite the market moving against them.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 93% winner in funded cluster
Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.
$2,071Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 94% winning diplomacy bettor
Sharp wallet with a 94% historical win rate and strong cross-market record is effectively buying No on this US-Iran diplomacy market.
$1,823Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 12-wallet geopolitical cluster
A proven 76% win-rate wallet from a 12-wallet linked cluster bought early at 77¢ in a thin geopolitical market that has already moved to 87%, suggesting coordinated conviction with good timing.
$2,048Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 8.0 - 93% winner in funded cluster
Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.
$2,436Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$16,740 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$14,578 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xbf4d20…33ed$7,596 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$6,173 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x50fc3d…91f7$6,115 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xe56b56…ea26$5,364 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 84% wins
- 0xe99bff…3e76$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x5bb720…6f64$3,678 · 1 market · 1 alert · 24% wins
- 0x5fdf53…28a2$3,423 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xc96e52…f1f9$2,768 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting?
The odds are reflected by prices across the event’s child markets, including whether no qualifying US-Iran meeting happens by June 30, 2026 and whether the next meeting is held in Pakistan. PolySpotter tracks those markets together so you can see the event-level picture.
What outcomes are being traded in this US-Iran meeting market?
This event currently includes markets on no qualifying diplomatic meeting occurring by the deadline and Pakistan being the country where the next qualifying meeting takes place. The hub page covers the event as a whole rather than only one outcome.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,907 in smart-money activity across 3 signals for this event. Recent alerts reference a 12-wallet geopolitical cluster, a 94% win-rate macro bettor, and a profitable cross-market bettor, which may help traders interpret where informed accounts are paying attention.
When does this US-Iran diplomatic meeting market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether and where a qualifying diplomatic meeting between official US and Iranian government representatives takes place by June 30, 2026.
Does an indirect or informal contact count as a qualifying meeting?
The market is based on a deliberate diplomatic meeting between authorized US and Iranian government representatives acting in an official capacity. Informal contacts or indirect meetings may not qualify unless they meet the market’s resolution criteria.