Part of: Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,929.

Categories: Politics, Foreign Policy, U.S. x Iran, Nuclear, Geopolitics, Iran, Khamenei, Iran Ceasefire, Trump, nuclear deal, Israel x Iran, Vance, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec, Peace Deal, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading rally

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
  • They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
  • Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.

$1,279 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor fading rally

Sharp wallet with a 79% resolved win rate and positive P&L is fading the recent Switzerland rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.5K lifetime.
  • They are fading a big move after Yes jumped 27 points in the past day.
  • Selling Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢.

$1,106 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor fading rally

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
  • They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
  • Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.

$1,767 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable cluster buying Yes

Three profitable wallets bought Yes in coordinated flow, including a +$1.18M wallet and a 76% winner, alongside strong recent price momentum.

  • Three profitable wallets are all buying the same outcome, totaling $6.25k on Yes.
  • One buyer is up $1.18M lifetime, while another wins 76% of resolved bets.
  • The first trade entered at 59¢ before the market moved to 72¢.

$6,250 on Yes

Sharp bettor exits Yes

Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved-bet record exited Yes at 84¢ before the market fell to 75¢, making the equivalent copy trade a BUY No signal despite likely profit-taking.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $10.8K lifetime.
  • They sold Yes at 84¢ before the market dropped to 75¢, signaling Switzerland looked overpriced.
  • This was an exit from an existing Yes position, so it is weaker than a fresh No bet.

$1,672 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

93% winner in funded cluster

Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $35.8k lifetime.
  • 15 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this market, totaling $7.4k in Yes buys.
  • Yes is already up 76% this week, and this wallet still bought at 87¢.

$2,436 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner in funded cluster

Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $35.8k lifetime.
  • 15 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this market, totaling $7.4k in Yes buys.
  • Yes is already up 76% this week, and this wallet still bought at 87¢.

$2,071 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor fading rally

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
  • They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
  • Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.

$1,708 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

82% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $749,790 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with $3.37M in tracked volume.
  • Selling No at 66¢ is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward Yes.

$3,627 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $749,790 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with $3.37M in tracked volume.
  • Selling No at 66¢ is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward Yes.

$2,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 40597295, $374,757
  2. 0xbd04...fbb0 Outcome 40597295, $6,962 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xae87...d629 Outcome 40597295, $5,000
  4. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 40597295, $4,000
  5. 0x9416...5a15 Outcome 40597295, $2,894 (41% win rate)
  6. 0xa536...c38c Outcome 40597295, $2,553 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xd4db...17ab Outcome 40597295, $2,000
  8. 0x645a...fd84 Outcome 40597295, $1,763 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 40597295, $1,070
  10. 0x27db...af68 Outcome 40597295, $1,000

Related Theses

Covers 11 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Iran peace deal won’t happen

Covers 12 related markets

Iran closes airspace mid-May

Covers 8 related markets

Iran deal unlikely soon

Covers 9 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 10 related markets

Iran deal by mid-June

Covers 13 related markets

World Cup favorites prevail

Covers 4 related markets

Hormuz blockade persists

Covers 9 related markets

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

ResolvedWhere will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?$61,929 tracked19 signalsPoliticsForeign PolicyU.S. x IranNuclearGeopoliticsIranKhameneiIran CeasefireTrumpnuclear dealIsrael x IranVanceRewards 50, 4.5, 100 DeprecPeace DealRewards 50, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

50d ago

$1,279 on No at 31¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

50d ago

$1,106 on No at 30¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

50d ago

$1,767 on No at 31¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

50d ago

$6,250 on Yes at 64¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

51d ago

$1,672 on No at 16¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

52d ago

$2,436 on Yes at 87¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

52d ago

$2,071 on Yes at 87¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

52d ago

$1,708 on No at 31¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

52d ago

$3,627 on Yes at 34¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

52d ago

$2,115 on Yes at 34¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

54d ago

$1,442 on No at 31¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

54d ago

$1,399 on No at 31¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$3,828 on Yes at 34¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$2,041 on Yes at 43¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$3,323 on Yes at 43¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$14,419 on No at 17¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 84¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

55d ago

$2,768 on Yes at 75¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

58d ago

$3,678 on No at 71¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 11 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 4 related markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…Iran x Israel/US conflict ends…
WTI stays between $90 and $105
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 5 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
Iran peace deal won’t happen
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 12 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran closes airspace mid-May
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 8 related markets
Iran closes its airspace by Ju…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…
Iran deal unlikely soon
Wallet_0xbf4d2 trades 9 related markets
US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…
No US-Iran peace deal
Wallet_0xbf4d2 trades 10 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran deal by mid-June
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 13 related markets
US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…
World Cup favorites prevail
Wallet_0x9c987 trades 4 related markets
Will England win the 2026 FIFA…Will France win the 2026 FIFA …Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…
Hormuz blockade persists
Wallet_0xfc2f4 trades 9 related markets
Will Donald Trump announce tha…Will Donald Trump announce tha…Will Donald Trump announce tha…