Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

This Polymarket asks whether the next official diplomatic meeting between authorized US and Iranian government representatives will be held in Pakistan. The market resolves based on the country hosting that next direct diplomatic meeting before June 30, 2026, making it a focused way to track expectations around US-Iran talks and regional diplomacy.

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,048.

Categories: Politics, Foreign Policy, Rewards 300 4.5 50, U.S. x Iran, Nuclear, Geopolitics, Iran, Khamenei, Iran Ceasefire, Trump, nuclear deal, Israel x Iran, Vance

Notable Trades

12-wallet geopolitical cluster

A proven 76% win-rate wallet from a 12-wallet linked cluster bought early at 77¢ in a thin geopolitical market that has already moved to 87%, suggesting coordinated conviction with good timing.

  • This wallet wins 76% of its bets across 263 resolved markets and bought before the price jumped from 77¢ to 87¢
  • 12 linked wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off trade
  • The market is still fairly thin at $13k volume, so a $2k buy moving into an 87¢ market is worth watching

$2,048 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcbab...9a8a Yes, $5,000 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $2,569
  3. 0xbaa2...2c73 No, $2,222 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xfc2f...10c7 Yes, $1,000 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x9ca1...13b5 No, $1,000 (57% win rate)
  6. 0xf27d...e6d3 No, $1,000
  7. 0x3690...e16f Yes, $997
  8. 0xc84f...e0c5 Yes, $870 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x4158...ce9f No, $576
  10. 0x86a6...1b3e Yes, $557

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

77d$2,048 tracked1 signalPoliticsForeign PolicyRewards 300 4.5 50U.S. x IranNuclearGeopoliticsIranKhameneiIran CeasefireTrumpnuclear dealIsrael x IranVance
Yes
73¢
No
27¢

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
65¢
58¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

2h ago

$2,048 on Yes at 77¢

77¢73¢4¢
US-Iran Pakistan Meeting Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter