Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether representatives of the United States and Iran will hold an official diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if authorized officials meet directly in a diplomatic or negotiating capacity regarding US-Iran relations; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $4,301 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,301.

Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Cross-market Iran bettor

A large, slightly profitable political trader is taking a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis, buying No across this market as part of $55.9k in related positioning.

  • This wallet has put $55.9k across 5 related US-Iran markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • The bettor is slightly profitable over a large history, up $43.7k across $8.2M invested.
  • This $4.3k No buy is meaningful in a smaller market with only $17.5k total volume.

$4,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc2f...10c7 Yes, $5,147 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $2,500 (47% win rate)
  3. 0xe738...df65 Yes, $2,000 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x5c6e...0617 No, $1,808 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x9d73...216b Yes, $1,800 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x8a98...1b92 No, $1,254 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x8a1e...bd03 No, $936
  8. 0x1834...051e Yes, $700
  9. 0x9352...2227 No, $689 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x9f66...3a50 No, $668 (73% win rate)

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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

10dUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?$4,301 tracked1 signalPoliticsIran CeasefireIranVanceTrumpU.S. x IranGeopolitics
Yes
36¢
No
64¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
73¢
65¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

4h ago

$4,301 on No at 70¢

70¢64¢6¢

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