Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
2 signals across 2 markets · $23,231 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether Jared Kushner will attend a formal, senior-level US-Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring $20,670 in smart money across the event, including a recent three-wallet No conviction cluster.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet No conviction cluster
Three wallets simultaneously added $20.7K to No, creating a large coordinated position in a thin market despite only modest track records.
$20,670Score: 5.2 - Serial trader buys No in thin market
A serial cross-market trader with a large, concentrated No position moved this thin market from roughly 82% to 90%, though their historical edge is modest.
$2,561Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1ee9a5…197f$2,561 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the US-Iran peace talks attendance odds?
This event tracks Yes and No outcomes for whether Jared Kushner attends a qualifying formal US-Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026. Check the live Polymarket market for the current prices and implied probabilities.
What is the prediction market about?
The market resolves Yes if Jared Kushner attends an official, senior-level in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round involving representatives of both the United States and Iran before the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No.
What is smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $20,670 in smart money and one signal for this event. The latest alert reports a three-wallet No conviction cluster.
When does this US-Iran prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time, with the event deadline listed as January 1, 2027, at 4:59 AM UTC.