Part of: Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,929.
Categories: Politics, Foreign Policy, U.S. x Iran, Nuclear, Geopolitics, Iran, Khamenei, Iran Ceasefire, Trump, nuclear deal, Israel x Iran, Vance, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec, Peace Deal, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading rally
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
- They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
- Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.
$1,279 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor fading rally
Sharp wallet with a 79% resolved win rate and positive P&L is fading the recent Switzerland rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 30¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.5K lifetime.
- They are fading a big move after Yes jumped 27 points in the past day.
- Selling Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢.
$1,106 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor fading rally
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
- They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
- Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.
$1,767 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable cluster buying Yes
Three profitable wallets bought Yes in coordinated flow, including a +$1.18M wallet and a 76% winner, alongside strong recent price momentum.
- Three profitable wallets are all buying the same outcome, totaling $6.25k on Yes.
- One buyer is up $1.18M lifetime, while another wins 76% of resolved bets.
- The first trade entered at 59¢ before the market moved to 72¢.
$6,250 on Yes
Sharp bettor exits Yes
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved-bet record exited Yes at 84¢ before the market fell to 75¢, making the equivalent copy trade a BUY No signal despite likely profit-taking.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $10.8K lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 84¢ before the market dropped to 75¢, signaling Switzerland looked overpriced.
- This was an exit from an existing Yes position, so it is weaker than a fresh No bet.
$1,672 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
93% winner in funded cluster
Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $35.8k lifetime.
- 15 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this market, totaling $7.4k in Yes buys.
- Yes is already up 76% this week, and this wallet still bought at 87¢.
$2,436 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner in funded cluster
Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is buying Yes alongside a 15-wallet funded cluster on a market that has surged sharply this week.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $35.8k lifetime.
- 15 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this market, totaling $7.4k in Yes buys.
- Yes is already up 76% this week, and this wallet still bought at 87¢.
$2,071 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp bettor fading rally
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Switzerland after a major rally and rapid downside price move.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $29k lifetime.
- They are fading Switzerland after Yes jumped 27 points in a day and 63 points over the week.
- Selling Yes at 69¢ converts to buying No at 31¢, implying a contrarian view after the rally.
$1,708 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $749,790 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with $3.37M in tracked volume.
- Selling No at 66¢ is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward Yes.
$3,627 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with 82% win rate and +$749,790 P&L is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ as part of a broader cross-market US-Iran thesis.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $749,790 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with $3.37M in tracked volume.
- Selling No at 66¢ is effectively buying Yes at 34¢ after a sharp 1-day move toward Yes.
$2,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40597295, $374,757
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 40597295, $6,962 (73% win rate)
- 0xae87...d629 — Outcome 40597295, $5,000
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 40597295, $4,000
- 0x9416...5a15 — Outcome 40597295, $2,894 (41% win rate)
- 0xa536...c38c — Outcome 40597295, $2,553 (57% win rate)
- 0xd4db...17ab — Outcome 40597295, $2,000
- 0x645a...fd84 — Outcome 40597295, $1,763 (63% win rate)
- 0x0a6d...1d0a — Outcome 40597295, $1,070
- 0x27db...af68 — Outcome 40597295, $1,000
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