Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $18,326 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x853c351% win rate

Total

$18,326

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,919 @ 19¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $4,332 @ 78¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
    $1,313 @ 68¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
    $1,555 @ 57¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
    $1,234 @ 32¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $1,531 @ 24¢
  7. 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
    $3,523 @ 63¢
  8. 8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
    $2,920 @ 62¢