Politics
3410 signals across 225 markets — Page 6 of 12
Monitor sharp bettor activity in political prediction markets. From elections to policy decisions, see where informed money is positioning on Polymarket's political events.
Politics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? — 3 signals, $96,698 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet macro rate cluster
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — 1 signal, $2,810 tracked. Latest: Sharp geopolitical favorite buyer
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? — 1 signal, $5,799 tracked. Latest: 94% win-rate whale
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — 3 signals, $29,954 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet coordinated Yes bet
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? — 27 signals, $731,896 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet regime-fall cluster
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? — 1 signal, $2,426 tracked. Latest: Profitable macro bettor in thin market
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — 3 signals, $8,714 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet conviction cluster
- Who will Trump pardon before 2027? — 2 signals, $5,954 tracked. Latest: 83% win-rate NO buyer
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? — 1 signal, $2,049 tracked. Latest: Sharp funded-cluster bettor
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? — 2 signals, $4,055 tracked. Latest: 75% win-rate macro bettor
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? — 1 signal, $7,369 tracked. Latest: 3-wallet Yes cluster
- Netanyahu out by...? — 5 signals, $34,111 tracked. Latest: 88% win-rate political sharp
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? — 1 signal, $5,079 tracked. Latest: 97% win-rate bettor
- Iowa Senate Election Winner — 1 signal, $1,814 tracked. Latest: 84% win-rate political sharp
- US x Iran ceasefire by...? — 258 signals, $3,534,248 tracked
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? — 2 signals, $2,252 tracked. Latest: Sharp bettor buys longshot Yes
- What will happen before GTA VI? — 2 signals, $94,844 tracked. Latest: Whale pressing Yes thesis
- Epstein client list released by...? — 1 signal, $2,128 tracked. Latest: 91% winner buys NO
- Maduro Prison Time? — 1 signal, $1,785 tracked. Latest: Sharp wallet fading Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — 2 signals, $15,891 tracked. Latest: 99% win-rate bettor
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?Event · 2 markets · 3 signals
214d24d ago
$25,180 on No at 76¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
236d24d ago
T
Trader_0xd5ccd72% win rate
$2,810 on No at 89¢
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
236d25d ago
W
Whale_0x5063394% win rate 🔥
$5,799 on No at 90¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
52d25d ago
$14,899 on Yes at 10¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
236d26d ago
W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate
$2,426 on Yes at 19¢
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
178d26d ago
$5,481 on Yes at 36¢
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
236d26d ago
W
Whale_0x4133f87% win rate
$4,919 on No at 84¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
236d27d ago
T
Trader_0x8200174% win rate
$2,049 on No at 27¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
236d28d ago
T
Trader_0x35bbb74% win rate
$1,344 on No at 74¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
236d29d ago
$7,369 on Yes at 18¢
Netanyahu out by...?Event · 2 markets · 5 signals
236d29d ago
W
Whale_0xde7be86% win rate
$1,762 on Yes at 38¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
236d29d ago
W
Whale_0x8cced97% win rate 🔥
$5,079 on Yes at 17¢
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Event · 2 markets · 3 signals
236d29d ago
$10,774 on No at 76¢
Iowa Senate Election WinnerWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
30d ago
S
Sharp_0x2586783% win rate
$1,814 on No at 39¢Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
22d32d ago
S
Sharp_0x9c27477% win rate
$1,000 on Yes at 8¢
What will happen before GTA VI?Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
84d32d ago
S
Sharp_0xb2d7c75% win rate
$42,218 on Yes at 55¢
Epstein client list released by...?Epstein client list released by June 30?
52d33d ago
W
Whale_0x4b29991% win rate 🔥
$2,128 on No at 89¢
Maduro Prison Time?Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
601d33d ago
T
Trader_0xb980585% win rate
$1,785 on No at 69¢
US x Iran ceasefire by...?Event · 8 markets · 258 signals
236d34d ago
$56,368 on No at 64¢
