Geopolitics
3239 signals across 149 markets — Page 5 of 8
Follow whale trades in geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. Track sharp bettors wagering on international diplomacy, conflicts, treaties, and global power shifts.
Geopolitics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? — 1 signal, $2,049 tracked. Latest: Sharp funded-cluster bettor
- Xi Jinping out before 2027? — 1 signal, $2,091 tracked. Latest: 84% win-rate macro bettor
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? — 2 signals, $4,055 tracked. Latest: 75% win-rate macro bettor
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? — 1 signal, $7,369 tracked. Latest: 3-wallet Yes cluster
- Netanyahu out by...? — 5 signals, $34,111 tracked. Latest: 88% win-rate political sharp
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? — 1 signal, $5,079 tracked. Latest: 97% win-rate bettor
- US x Iran ceasefire by...? — 258 signals, $3,534,248 tracked
- US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? — 2 signals, $5,649 tracked. Latest: 72% win-rate macro bettor
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? — 2 signals, $2,252 tracked. Latest: Sharp bettor buys longshot Yes
- Which cities will Russia enter by June 30? — 1 signal, $1,776 tracked. Latest: Sharp trader flips back to Yes
- US forces enter Iran by..? — 184 signals, $2,857,468 tracked. Latest: 29-wallet NO cluster
- Maduro Prison Time? — 1 signal, $1,785 tracked. Latest: Sharp wallet fading Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — 2 signals, $15,891 tracked. Latest: 99% win-rate bettor
- State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? — 1 signal, $4,970 tracked
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? — 2 signals, $61,834 tracked
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027? — 1 signal, $4,452 tracked
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? — 1 signal, $3,850 tracked
- India strike on Pakistan by...? — 3 signals, $39,293 tracked
- Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April? — 1 signal, $3,920 tracked. Latest: 87% winner buying late Yes
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? — 1 signal, $2,302 tracked. Latest: Profitable serial event trader
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Resolved3d ago
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Whale_0x2f63387% win rate
$3,920 on Yes at 89¢U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Resolved7d ago
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Trader_0x614dc66% win rate
$2,302 on Yes at 87¢Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
235d27d ago
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Trader_0x8200174% win rate
$2,049 on No at 27¢Xi Jinping out before 2027?
235d28d ago
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Sharp_0xe749984% win rate
$2,091 on Yes at 11¢Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
235d29d ago
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Trader_0x35bbb74% win rate
$1,344 on No at 74¢Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
235d30d ago
$7,369 on Yes at 18¢
Netanyahu out by...?Event · 2 markets · 5 signals
235d30d ago
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Whale_0xde7be86% win rate
$1,762 on Yes at 38¢US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
235d30d ago
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Whale_0x8cced97% win rate 🔥
$5,079 on Yes at 17¢Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
21d33d ago
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Sharp_0x9c27477% win rate
$1,000 on Yes at 8¢Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
51d33d ago
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Trader_0x8f69269% win rate
$1,776 on Yes at 26¢Maduro Prison Time?Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
600d34d ago
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Trader_0xb980585% win rate
$1,785 on No at 69¢US forces enter Iran by..?Event · 3 markets · 184 signals
235d35d ago
$26,123 on No at 14¢
US x Iran ceasefire by...?Event · 8 markets · 258 signals
235d35d ago
$56,368 on No at 64¢
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
51d37d ago
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Whale_0x15fdd100% win rate 🔥
$4,970 on No at 90¢How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
235d39d ago
$28,634 on Yes at 20¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
235d40d ago
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Whale_0x3de2e99% win rate 🔥
$4,452 on Yes at 12¢Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
235d42d ago
$3,850 on No at 77¢